All outlets

OUT_03606

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
858.8 L
Recent monthly avg
521.8 L
Own Q90
896.0 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
21
HHI (1.5 km)
1,008
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +164.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~164.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +271.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +113.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +70.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +69.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    +52.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -114.0
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -18.9
  • Province_Southern
    -3.0
  • mid_share
    -2.8
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    -1.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 822.4 L → after 822.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 822.4 L → after 822.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,355

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.