All outlets

OUT_03599

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
75.4 L
Recent monthly avg
17.2 L
Own Q90
53.9 L
Active months
20 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
863
Replenishment friction
25.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.5
  • Latitude
    +2.9
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +1.3
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.3
  • competitors_500m
    +1.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.4
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 70.0 L → after 70.0 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 70.0 L → after 70.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 101

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.