All outlets

OUT_03579

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
771.5 L
Recent monthly avg
489.7 L
Own Q90
834.8 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
764
Replenishment friction
12.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +155.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~155.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +194.4
  • Cooler_Count
    +137.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +68.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +64.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    +51.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -119.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.3
  • Province_Southern
    -3.1
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_02
    -1.3
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -0.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 777.6 L → after 777.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 777.6 L → after 777.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,040

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.