All outlets

OUT_03559

Grocery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,776.9 L
Recent monthly avg
1,182.8 L
Own Q90
1,852.8 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
20
HHI (1.5 km)
749
Replenishment friction
6.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +355.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~355.9 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.9 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 23.9 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.9 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +670.2
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +356.5
  • Cooler_Count
    +165.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +102.0
  • monthly_volume_median
    +95.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -32.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -27.5
  • Province_Southern
    -4.2
  • Latitude
    -3.6
  • monthly_cv
    -2.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,779.7 L → after 1,779.7 L
Remove competitive drag+2.2 L / mo
base 1,779.7 L → after 1,781.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,348

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.