All outlets

OUT_03545

Pharmacy · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
215.2 L
Recent monthly avg
98.5 L
Own Q90
189.4 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
9
HHI (1.5 km)
1,019
Replenishment friction
28.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +40.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~40.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +25.3
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +14.0
  • Province_Western
    +7.6
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +3.8
  • Latitude
    +1.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -56.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -21.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 203.6 L → after 203.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 203.6 L → after 203.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 284

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.