All outlets

OUT_03539

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
87.9 L
Recent monthly avg
19.4 L
Own Q90
67.5 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,011
Replenishment friction
29.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +19.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~19.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +4.7 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +4.7 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +6.4
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.0
  • Latitude
    +2.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.0
  • monthly_cv
    +1.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -30.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+4.7 L / mo
base 97.6 L → after 102.3 L
Remove competitive drag-0.2 L / mo
base 97.6 L → after 97.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 89

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.