All outlets

OUT_03521

Kiosk · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
217.8 L
Recent monthly avg
93.7 L
Own Q90
250.0 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
766
Replenishment friction
31.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +306.3 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +306.3 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +44.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~44.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +26.2
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +14.4
  • Province_Western
    +6.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +1.6
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -20.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -10.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+306.3 L / mo
base 223.0 L → after 529.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 223.0 L → after 223.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 205

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
306.3 L
Monthly margin
LKR 9,488
Payback
5.3 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 152,787

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.