All outlets

OUT_03473

Grocery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
77.7 L
Recent monthly avg
18.9 L
Own Q90
60.7 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
1,130
Replenishment friction
29.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +20.9 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~20.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.9
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.8
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +2.2
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.2
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +1.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 104.2 L → after 104.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 104.2 L → after 104.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 99

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.