All outlets

OUT_03368

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
758.3 L
Recent monthly avg
454.7 L
Own Q90
733.8 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
11
HHI (1.5 km)
986
Replenishment friction
9.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +144.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~144.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +263.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +69.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    +67.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +55.9
  • monthly_volume_median
    +52.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -112.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -20.7
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -1.8
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_02
    -1.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 724.1 L → after 724.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 724.1 L → after 724.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,288

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.