All outlets

OUT_03349

Eatery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
229.8 L
Recent monthly avg
105.3 L
Own Q90
201.0 L
Active months
26 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
1,273
Replenishment friction
26.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +328.7 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +328.7 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +43.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~43.3 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +30.6
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +14.1
  • Province_Western
    +6.1
  • mass_share
    +2.8
  • mid_share
    +1.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -17.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+328.7 L / mo
base 216.6 L → after 545.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 216.6 L → after 216.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 241

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
328.7 L
Monthly margin
LKR 9,237
Payback
5.4 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 147,430

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.