All outlets

OUT_03284

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
232.0 L
Recent monthly avg
20.1 L
Own Q90
70.7 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
1,411
Replenishment friction
18.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +31.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~31.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +11.3
  • mid_share
    +8.0
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +6.0
  • Latitude
    +5.8
  • territory_radius_m
    +3.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.7
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 155.9 L → after 155.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 155.9 L → after 155.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,386

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.