All outlets

OUT_03190

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
223.2 L
Recent monthly avg
24.1 L
Own Q90
79.5 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
920
Replenishment friction
11.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +32.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~32.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +6.5 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.0% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~6.5 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • competitors_2km
    +14.0
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +10.0
  • Province_Western
    +9.6
  • monthly_cv
    +5.1
  • Latitude
    +4.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 164.1 L → after 164.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 164.1 L → after 164.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 777

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.