All outlets

OUT_02966

Hotel · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
706.2 L
Recent monthly avg
396.6 L
Own Q90
615.1 L
Active months
29 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
2,107
Replenishment friction
17.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +134.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~134.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +9.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +9.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +261.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +79.3
  • monthly_volume_std
    +72.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    +54.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +31.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -101.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -22.5
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -18.0
  • Province_Southern
    -2.8
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    -2.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+9.1 L / mo
base 672.0 L → after 681.1 L
Remove competitive drag-0.2 L / mo
base 672.0 L → after 671.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,296

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
9.1 L
Monthly margin
LKR 297
Payback
168.6 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR -43,660

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.