All outlets

OUT_02936

SMMT · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,844.7 L
Recent monthly avg
1,280.8 L
Own Q90
1,848.7 L
Active months
35 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
1,014
Replenishment friction
2.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +364.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~364.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +677.5
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +358.4
  • Cooler_Count
    +164.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +118.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +99.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -32.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -29.3
  • Province_Southern
    -4.2
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    -4.2
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    -2.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,820.4 L → after 1,820.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 1,820.4 L → after 1,820.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 4,079

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.