All outlets

OUT_02872

Hotel · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
218.3 L
Recent monthly avg
27.6 L
Own Q90
98.3 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
915
Replenishment friction
11.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +353.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +353.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +41.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~41.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +31.9
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +16.3
  • mid_share
    +6.6
  • Province_Western
    +6.5
  • mass_share
    +2.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+353.1 L / mo
base 205.0 L → after 558.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 205.0 L → after 205.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 457

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
353.1 L
Monthly margin
LKR 8,710
Payback
5.7 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 136,162

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.