All outlets

OUT_02840

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
790.9 L
Recent monthly avg
477.0 L
Own Q90
735.0 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
26
HHI (1.5 km)
895
Replenishment friction
6.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +157.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~157.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.4 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 21.2 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.4 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +195.2
  • Cooler_Count
    +138.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +71.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +69.4
  • monthly_volume_std
    +50.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -117.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -20.3
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • Latitude
    -2.0
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -1.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 787.3 L → after 787.3 L
Remove competitive drag+1.0 L / mo
base 787.3 L → after 788.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,091

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.