All outlets

OUT_02836

Pharmacy · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,677.0 L
Recent monthly avg
1,290.2 L
Own Q90
1,892.6 L
Active months
35 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
889
Replenishment friction
2.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +345.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~345.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +664.4
  • Cooler_Count
    +311.8
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +247.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +97.5
  • monthly_volume_median
    +94.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -33.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -27.7
  • competitors_500m
    -10.2
  • Latitude
    -6.0
  • monthly_cv
    -4.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,727.9 L → after 1,727.9 L
Remove competitive drag-0.2 L / mo
base 1,727.9 L → after 1,727.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 2,005

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.