All outlets

OUT_02805

Eatery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
91.2 L
Recent monthly avg
13.5 L
Own Q90
47.3 L
Active months
10 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
25
HHI (1.5 km)
916
Replenishment friction
10.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +20.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~20.8 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 20.9 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.4
  • competitors_1km
    +3.4
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.6
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.0
  • monthly_cv
    +1.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.4
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 103.9 L → after 103.9 L
Remove competitive drag+1.3 L / mo
base 103.9 L → after 105.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 156

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.