All outlets

OUT_02801

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
83.7 L
Recent monthly avg
15.6 L
Own Q90
48.1 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
21
HHI (1.5 km)
1,109
Replenishment friction
12.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +18.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~18.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +5.3 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 4.4% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 13.9%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~5.3 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +4.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +4.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +6.9
  • competitors_1km
    +2.6
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +2.2
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.1
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+4.1 L / mo
base 93.3 L → after 97.4 L
Remove competitive drag+0.4 L / mo
base 93.3 L → after 93.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 80

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.