All outlets

OUT_02772

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
84.2 L
Recent monthly avg
22.6 L
Own Q90
66.9 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
653
Replenishment friction
22.2%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +18.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~18.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +3.4 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 8.4% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.6%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~3.4 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +9.3
  • hhi_1500m
    +3.0
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +2.2
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.2
  • competitors_1km
    +1.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 93.1 L → after 93.1 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 93.1 L → after 93.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 75

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.