All outlets

OUT_02680

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
89.4 L
Recent monthly avg
16.6 L
Own Q90
65.5 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
11
HHI (1.5 km)
971
Replenishment friction
26.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +16.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~16.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +3.3 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 7.0% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 13.9%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~3.3 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.5
  • mass_share
    +2.5
  • food_pairing_score_norm
    +2.1
  • mid_share
    +1.9
  • monthly_cv
    +1.6

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.6
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -26.4
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 80.8 L → after 80.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 80.8 L → after 80.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 175

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.