All outlets

OUT_02518

Bakery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
85.9 L
Recent monthly avg
14.0 L
Own Q90
45.9 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
1,213
Replenishment friction
35.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +22.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~22.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.2
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    +9.7
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.3
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +2.1
  • Latitude
    +2.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    -21.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 113.3 L → after 113.3 L
Remove competitive drag+0.4 L / mo
base 113.3 L → after 113.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 103

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.