All outlets

OUT_02478

Eatery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
69.6 L
Recent monthly avg
12.9 L
Own Q90
31.0 L
Active months
20 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
711
Replenishment friction
35.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +15.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~15.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +2.4 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.0% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.0%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~2.4 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +1.0 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 20.1 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 1.0 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.5
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.4
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.0
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +1.8
  • competitors_2km
    +1.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -27.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    -23.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 78.4 L → after 78.4 L
Remove competitive drag+2.6 L / mo
base 78.4 L → after 81.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 93

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.