All outlets

OUT_02471

Bakery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,754.9 L
Recent monthly avg
1,266.2 L
Own Q90
1,849.1 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
1,129
Replenishment friction
5.9%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +352.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~352.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +671.5
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +352.7
  • Cooler_Count
    +163.6
  • monthly_volume_median
    +95.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +93.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -32.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -27.4
  • jan_mean
    -7.1
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    -4.4
  • Province_Southern
    -4.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,762.7 L → after 1,762.7 L
Remove competitive drag-3.0 L / mo
base 1,762.7 L → after 1,759.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 3,129

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.