All outlets

OUT_02451

Kiosk · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
221.6 L
Recent monthly avg
111.0 L
Own Q90
268.6 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
999
Replenishment friction
6.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +44.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~44.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +25.1
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +15.9
  • Province_Western
    +6.7
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +2.6
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -55.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.1
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -9.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 220.7 L → after 220.7 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 220.7 L → after 220.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 234

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.