All outlets

OUT_02421

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
72.4 L
Recent monthly avg
15.7 L
Own Q90
40.2 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,339
Replenishment friction
23.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.4 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.4 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.6
  • competitors_2km
    +2.9
  • monthly_cv
    +1.1
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +0.8
  • territory_radius_m
    +0.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 72.1 L → after 72.1 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 72.1 L → after 72.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 68

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.