All outlets

OUT_02377

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
81.0 L
Recent monthly avg
22.8 L
Own Q90
89.8 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
13
HHI (1.5 km)
1,465
Replenishment friction
26.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +5.1 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 4.2% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 13.9%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~5.1 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.1
  • mass_share
    +1.7
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.4
  • Latitude
    +1.3
  • avg_price_per_liter
    +0.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.6
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 88.2 L → after 88.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 88.2 L → after 88.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 107

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.