All outlets

OUT_02300

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
66.9 L
Recent monthly avg
11.7 L
Own Q90
28.6 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
11
HHI (1.5 km)
1,308
Replenishment friction
29.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +14.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~14.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.8 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 11.3 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.8 L/month of intercepted traffic.

  3. Rank 3 · cooler

    Place first cooler at outlet

    +0.5 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +0.5 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.0
  • Longitude
    +2.0
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.7
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.6
  • competitors_2km
    +1.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.7
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.4
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.3

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+0.5 L / mo
base 73.6 L → after 74.0 L
Remove competitive drag+2.0 L / mo
base 73.6 L → after 75.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 98

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.