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OUT_02239

Kiosk · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
76.8 L
Recent monthly avg
8.3 L
Own Q90
19.2 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
664
Replenishment friction
31.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +18.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~18.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +11.5
  • competitors_1km
    +3.5
  • Longitude
    +3.4
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    +2.8
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +2.4

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -63.3
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -27.0
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 90.0 L → after 90.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 90.0 L → after 90.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 128

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.