All outlets

OUT_02232

Bakery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
88.4 L
Recent monthly avg
9.6 L
Own Q90
29.1 L
Active months
13 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
13
HHI (1.5 km)
1,021
Replenishment friction
7.7%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +19.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~19.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +11.4
  • Outlet_Type_Bakery
    +7.1
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.2
  • monthly_cv
    +2.0
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +1.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.2
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -21.9

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 97.9 L → after 97.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 97.9 L → after 97.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 206

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.