All outlets

OUT_02178

SMMT · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
625.8 L
Recent monthly avg
14.6 L
Own Q90
37.9 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
961
Replenishment friction
17.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +124.1 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~124.1 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +313.4
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +88.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +63.3
  • mid_share
    +4.7
  • Province_Western
    +4.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -50.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -50.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -22.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    -15.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -13.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 620.5 L → after 620.5 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 620.5 L → after 620.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 5,000

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.