All outlets

OUT_02137

Pharmacy · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
215.6 L
Recent monthly avg
96.9 L
Own Q90
247.4 L
Active months
24 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,004
Replenishment friction
20.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +295.5 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +295.5 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +45.2 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~45.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +28.2
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +14.5
  • Province_Western
    +6.5
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +3.6
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -58.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -20.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    -16.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -9.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+295.5 L / mo
base 226.1 L → after 521.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 226.1 L → after 226.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 195

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
295.5 L
Monthly margin
LKR 9,712
Payback
5.1 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 157,569

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.