All outlets

OUT_02068

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
696.5 L
Recent monthly avg
461.8 L
Own Q90
738.1 L
Active months
30 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
932
Replenishment friction
13.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +143.8 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~143.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +282.3
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +81.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +66.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +37.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    +34.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -122.4
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -24.2
  • Latitude
    -3.3
  • Province_Southern
    -3.1
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    -1.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 718.7 L → after 718.7 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 718.7 L → after 718.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 733

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.