All outlets

OUT_02035

Kiosk · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
80.4 L
Recent monthly avg
12.6 L
Own Q90
57.5 L
Active months
11 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
19
HHI (1.5 km)
631
Replenishment friction
27.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +18.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~18.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +4.0 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 6.7% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 14.2%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~4.0 L/month.

  3. Rank 3 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +1.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 25.4 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 1.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +11.4
  • super_premium_share
    +4.7
  • monthly_cv
    +3.7
  • Outlet_Type_Kiosk
    +3.0
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -64.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.9
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.1
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 89.8 L → after 89.8 L
Remove competitive drag+3.8 L / mo
base 89.8 L → after 93.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 132

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.