All outlets

OUT_02022

Bakery · Extra Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
1,725.6 L
Recent monthly avg
1,182.9 L
Own Q90
1,836.9 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
24
HHI (1.5 km)
576
Replenishment friction
12.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +344.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~344.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    +654.5
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +352.7
  • Cooler_Count
    +164.4
  • monthly_volume_median
    +93.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +83.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -32.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -26.7
  • competitors_1km
    -4.4
  • Province_Southern
    -4.3
  • hhi_1500m
    -3.6

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 1,723.6 L → after 1,723.6 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 1,723.6 L → after 1,723.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 3,508

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.