All outlets

OUT_01897

Bakery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
787.7 L
Recent monthly avg
471.1 L
Own Q90
744.0 L
Active months
32 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
749
Replenishment friction
12.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +152.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~152.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +268.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +82.4
  • monthly_volume_std
    +68.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +67.2
  • monthly_volume_median
    +54.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -111.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -18.8
  • Province_Southern
    -3.0
  • mid_share
    -2.8
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -2.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 759.8 L → after 759.8 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 759.8 L → after 759.8 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,345

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.