All outlets

OUT_01867

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
88.9 L
Recent monthly avg
21.3 L
Own Q90
65.5 L
Active months
20 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
16
HHI (1.5 km)
1,060
Replenishment friction
35.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +17.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~17.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +7.0
  • mid_share
    +4.0
  • mass_share
    +2.4
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.9
  • spatial_demand_score
    +1.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -62.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.4
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.5

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 88.2 L → after 88.2 L
Remove competitive drag-0.1 L / mo
base 88.2 L → after 88.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 135

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.