All outlets

OUT_01818

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
228.7 L
Recent monthly avg
21.2 L
Own Q90
80.7 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
24
HHI (1.5 km)
592
Replenishment friction
36.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +35.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~35.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • competitors_2km
    +18.2
  • Province_Western
    +12.5
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +6.4
  • hhi_1500m
    +4.6
  • territory_radius_m
    +4.3

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.2
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -21.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 175.0 L → after 175.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 175.0 L → after 175.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,113

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.