All outlets

OUT_01797

Grocery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

High

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
73.6 L
Recent monthly avg
13.1 L
Own Q90
36.0 L
Active months
16 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
17
HHI (1.5 km)
1,047
Replenishment friction
12.5%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +19.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~19.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.8
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.2
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.9
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +2.8
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.1

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.5
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.0
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.2
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.8
  • monthly_volume_std
    -22.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 95.2 L → after 95.2 L
Remove competitive drag+0.8 L / mo
base 95.2 L → after 96.0 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 107

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.