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OUT_01792

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
86.5 L
Recent monthly avg
24.2 L
Own Q90
49.2 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
18
HHI (1.5 km)
892
Replenishment friction
27.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +18.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~18.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +3.6 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +3.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +6.4
  • competitors_2km
    +3.5
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +3.1
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.8
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.1

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+3.6 L / mo
base 93.5 L → after 97.1 L
Remove competitive drag-0.8 L / mo
base 93.5 L → after 92.7 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 70

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.