All outlets

OUT_01694

SMMT · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
773.0 L
Recent monthly avg
495.9 L
Own Q90
765.3 L
Active months
34 / 36
Coolers
3
Local competitors (1 km)
15
HHI (1.5 km)
631
Replenishment friction
0.0%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +153.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~153.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +191.7
  • Cooler_Count
    +139.9
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +70.8
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +54.1
  • monthly_volume_std
    +45.2

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.3
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -22.0
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    -3.8
  • Province_Southern
    -3.2
  • Outlet_Type_Grocery
    -1.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 767.8 L → after 767.8 L
Remove competitive drag+0.1 L / mo
base 767.8 L → after 767.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,006

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.