All outlets

OUT_01656

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
699.1 L
Recent monthly avg
412.8 L
Own Q90
676.0 L
Active months
28 / 36
Coolers
5
Local competitors (1 km)
22
HHI (1.5 km)
610
Replenishment friction
21.4%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +144.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~144.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · merchandising

    Deploy prime-shelf branded merchandising (posters, shelf-talkers)

    +0.5 L / mo

    Outlet faces type-weighted competition pressure of 31.3 from nearby same-type stores. Targeted in-store branded visibility recovers an estimated 0.5 L/month of intercepted traffic.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Cooler_Count
    +283.1
  • monthly_volume_mean
    +79.0
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +63.6
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +51.1
  • monthly_volume_median
    +36.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.7
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -23.2
  • mid_share
    -3.4
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.4
  • mass_share
    -3.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 722.8 L → after 722.8 L
Remove competitive drag+1.2 L / mo
base 722.8 L → after 723.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 963

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.