All outlets

OUT_01605

Grocery · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
727.9 L
Recent monthly avg
447.8 L
Own Q90
748.1 L
Active months
31 / 36
Coolers
4
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
902
Replenishment friction
16.1%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +147.3 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~147.2 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +194.6
  • Cooler_Count
    +135.8
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +65.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    +57.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +50.5

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -118.1
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -21.5
  • mass_share
    -5.5
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -5.4
  • mid_share
    -4.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 736.2 L → after 736.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 736.2 L → after 736.2 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,079

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.