All outlets

OUT_01591

SMMT · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
73.9 L
Recent monthly avg
22.6 L
Own Q90
74.6 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
14
HHI (1.5 km)
905
Replenishment friction
27.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +13.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~13.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +4.9
  • mass_share
    +0.9
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_03
    +0.9
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +0.8
  • territory_radius_m
    +0.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -60.9
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -26.1
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -25.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -23.2

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 68.3 L → after 68.3 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 68.3 L → after 68.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 55

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.