All outlets

OUT_01465

Grocery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
89.2 L
Recent monthly avg
26.1 L
Own Q90
84.0 L
Active months
23 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
7
HHI (1.5 km)
1,699
Replenishment friction
4.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +22.5 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~22.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +11.7
  • Latitude
    +4.4
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.4
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.0
  • mid_share
    +0.9

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.1
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.7
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 112.6 L → after 112.6 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 112.6 L → after 112.6 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 88

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.