All outlets

OUT_01287

Hotel · Large · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
681.1 L
Recent monthly avg
350.0 L
Own Q90
626.6 L
Active months
27 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
10
HHI (1.5 km)
1,755
Replenishment friction
29.6%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +127.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~127.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +20.0 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +20.0 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    +207.5
  • monthly_volume_std
    +76.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    +74.8
  • monthly_volume_median
    +53.8
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +38.7

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -90.3
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -19.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -17.1
  • mass_share
    -4.7
  • avg_price_per_liter
    -3.0

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+20.0 L / mo
base 638.5 L → after 658.4 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 638.5 L → after 638.5 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,557

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
20.0 L
Monthly margin
LKR 678
Payback
73.8 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR -35,514

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.