All outlets

OUT_01210

Eatery · Medium · Western · distributor DIST_W_01

Low

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
227.0 L
Recent monthly avg
97.1 L
Own Q90
238.0 L
Active months
22 / 36
Coolers
2
Local competitors (1 km)
13
HHI (1.5 km)
1,446
Replenishment friction
31.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · cooler

    Add 3th cooler to outlet

    +300.1 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +300.1 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

  2. Rank 2 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +46.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~46.6 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  3. Rank 3 · sku_mix

    Shift SKU mix toward premium (stock 1-2 additional premium SKUs)

    +9.0 L / mo

    Outlet currently sells 9.1% premium SKUs vs top-performing peers in the same cohort at 15.5%. Closing this gap typically lifts volume by ~9.0 L/month.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Outlet_Size_Small
    +33.4
  • Outlet_Size_Medium
    +15.5
  • Province_Western
    +4.7
  • monthly_volume_std
    +3.8
  • Distributor_ID_DIST_W_01
    +2.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.4
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.6
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -20.7
  • monthly_volume_median
    -15.9
  • climate_jan_humid_pct
    -8.4

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+300.1 L / mo
base 233.1 L → after 533.2 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 233.1 L → after 233.1 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 243

Cooler deployment business case

Assumes LKR 50,000 unit cost, 12% gross margin, 12% cost of capital.

Monthly uplift
300.1 L
Monthly margin
LKR 8,693
Payback
5.8 mo
24-mo NPV
LKR 135,789

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.