All outlets

OUT_01169

Hotel · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_02

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
81.3 L
Recent monthly avg
21.3 L
Own Q90
54.5 L
Active months
19 / 36
Coolers
1
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,158
Replenishment friction
36.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +15.7 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~15.7 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

  2. Rank 2 · cooler

    Add 2th cooler to outlet

    +3.6 L / mo

    Counterfactual model predicts +3.6 L/month if cooler capacity is increased.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +5.6
  • super_premium_share
    +2.7
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +1.5
  • type_weighted_pressure
    +0.9
  • avg_price_per_liter
    +0.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.2
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -26.0
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -24.3
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler+3.6 L / mo
base 78.4 L → after 82.0 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 78.4 L → after 78.4 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 75

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.