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OUT_01112

Eatery · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Moderate

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
74.2 L
Recent monthly avg
17.0 L
Own Q90
39.1 L
Active months
18 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,347
Replenishment friction
27.8%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +20.0 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~20.0 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +12.7
  • Outlet_Type_SMMT
    +2.5
  • Outlet_Type_Hotel
    +2.1
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.0
  • competitors_2km
    +2.0

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -61.0
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -28.5
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -24.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -22.5
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -21.7

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 99.9 L → after 99.9 L
Remove competitive drag0.0 L / mo
base 99.9 L → after 99.9 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 102

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.