All outlets

OUT_00982

Pharmacy · Small · Western · distributor DIST_W_03

Critical

Predicted potential

January 2026 if systemic constraints were relieved.

Predicted Jan 2026
232.2 L
Recent monthly avg
18.6 L
Own Q90
68.5 L
Active months
17 / 36
Coolers
0
Local competitors (1 km)
12
HHI (1.5 km)
1,631
Replenishment friction
35.3%

Geographical Location

Store location on the map.

Recommended actions

Top-3 prescriptive interventions ranked by expected monthly L uplift.

  1. Rank 1 · festival_promo

    Schedule promotional push for Christmas + New Year peak

    +29.6 L / mo

    Historical seasonality and Sri Lanka demand calendar imply ~29.5 L/month additional volume during Christmas + New Year peak if outlet is featured in the campaign.

Top reasons the score is high

Largest positive SHAP contributors.

  • Province_Western
    +13.4
  • Outlet_Type_Pharmacy
    +5.3
  • mid_share
    +5.0
  • monthly_cv
    +3.3
  • spatial_demand_score
    +2.8

Top reasons the score is held back

Largest negative SHAP contributors.

  • monthly_volume_mean
    -59.8
  • Outlet_Size_Extra Large
    -29.7
  • monthly_volume_q95
    -23.9
  • Outlet_Size_Small
    -23.1
  • Outlet_Size_Large
    -22.8

What-if scenarios

Model-predicted deltas if a constraint were relieved.

Add one cooler0.0 L / mo
base 147.7 L → after 147.7 L
Remove competitive drag+0.6 L / mo
base 147.7 L → after 148.3 L
LKR allocated for Jan 2026: LKR 1,412

AI explanation

A Gemini-generated, business-friendly summary of why this outlet received its score and what the sales team should consider next.

Click Explain this outlet to ask Gemini 2.5 Flash for a plain-English explanation grounded in the SHAP drivers, the counterfactuals, and the recommended actions for this outlet.